Decision replay

complete

Decision

cmqzrafgv0wvxmk10e6xb721z

Strategy: high-prob-bonds v1.0.0

Action: skip · status created · mode paper

paramHash: d4ed00c28c39931302fea8e14cb7b9f98711545519ae83d9b8b38df45317c34b

configHash: d4ed00c28c39931302fea8e14cb7b9f98711545519ae83d9b8b38df45317c34b

Reason code: LOW_CONFIDENCE

Resolved config snapshot

{
  "priceMax": "0.98500000",
  "priceMin": "0.94000000",
  "maxSpread": "0.02000000",
  "minNetEvUsd": "0.01000000",
  "orderSizeUsd": "5.00000000",
  "takerFeeRate": "0.00500000",
  "minConfidence": "0.98500000",
  "minLiquidityUsd": "500.00000000",
  "minVolume24hUsd": "100.00000000",
  "maxMarketDataAgeSeconds": 30,
  "maxTimeToResolutionHours": 168,
  "allowSubjectiveCategories": false
}

Decision inputs

{
  "shares": "5.31067446",
  "buyPrice": "0.94150000",
  "netEvUsd": "-0.03296601",
  "confidence": "0.94150000",
  "feePerShareUsd": "0.00470750",
  "grossReturnIfWin": "0.05850000",
  "netEvPerShareUsd": "-0.00620750",
  "slippagePerShareUsd": "0.00150000",
  "expectedValuePerShare": "0.00000000"
}

Opportunity

{
  "id": "cmqzrafgo0wvumk10cfd7zknp",
  "strategyId": "high-prob-bonds",
  "strategyVersion": "1.0.0",
  "marketId": "0x609e55cfad2bea2c42ab7f2524cd23a532d418a4cb55ef53312ca362d8048f7e",
  "status": "decided",
  "side": "buy",
  "outcome": "Paraguay",
  "price": "0.9415",
  "sizeUsd": "5",
  "estimatedGrossEv": null,
  "estimatedNetEv": null,
  "confidence": "0.9415",
  "liquidityUsd": "63451.6977",
  "spread": "0.003",
  "reason": null,
  "rejectionStage": null,
  "rejectionCode": null,
  "rejectionReason": null,
  "features": {
    "price": "0.94150000",
    "binary": true,
    "spread": "0.00300000",
    "ageSeconds": 0,
    "confidence": "0.94150000",
    "subjective": false,
    "liquidityUsd": "63451.69770000",
    "volume24hUsd": "458526.21163100",
    "resolutionRulesClear": true,
    "timeToResolutionHours": -1.417159166666667
  },
  "configSnapshot": null,
  "configSnapshotHash": "d4ed00c28c39931302fea8e14cb7b9f98711545519ae83d9b8b38df45317c34b",
  "marketSnapshotId": "cmqzraf1a0woamk10iyzlr9oo",
  "rawSnapshotId": null,
  "raw": null,
  "foundAt": "2026-06-29T21:55:03.240Z",
  "expiresAt": "2026-06-29T20:30:00.000Z",
  "createdAt": "2026-06-29T21:55:03.240Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-06-29T21:55:03.254Z"
}

Market snapshot

{
  "id": "cmqzraf1a0woamk10iyzlr9oo",
  "marketId": "0x609e55cfad2bea2c42ab7f2524cd23a532d418a4cb55ef53312ca362d8048f7e",
  "bestBid": "0.057",
  "bestAsk": "0.9415",
  "midPrice": "0.0585",
  "spread": "0.003",
  "liquidityUsd": "63451.6977",
  "volume24hUsd": "458526.211631",
  "orderBook": null,
  "sourceRawId": null,
  "capturedAt": "2026-06-29T21:55:01.773Z"
}

Risk checks

0 check record(s)

Orders & trades

No orders (decision not executed).

Related events

Jun 29, 2026, 09:55:03 PMDecisionCreated