Decision replay
complete
Decision
cmqzsaeb117cumk10blac7vt1
Strategy: high-prob-bonds v1.0.0
Action: skip · status created · mode paper
paramHash: d4ed00c28c39931302fea8e14cb7b9f98711545519ae83d9b8b38df45317c34b
configHash: d4ed00c28c39931302fea8e14cb7b9f98711545519ae83d9b8b38df45317c34b
Rationale: Buy No @ 0.9450 | confidence 0.9450 | fee/sh 0.004725 | slippage/sh 0.005000 | net EV -0.051455 USD | skip: confidence < 0.9850
Reason code: LOW_CONFIDENCE
Resolved config snapshot
{
"priceMax": "0.98500000",
"priceMin": "0.94000000",
"maxSpread": "0.02000000",
"minNetEvUsd": "0.01000000",
"orderSizeUsd": "5.00000000",
"takerFeeRate": "0.00500000",
"minConfidence": "0.98500000",
"minLiquidityUsd": "500.00000000",
"minVolume24hUsd": "100.00000000",
"maxMarketDataAgeSeconds": 30,
"maxTimeToResolutionHours": 168,
"allowSubjectiveCategories": false
}Decision inputs
{
"shares": "5.29100529",
"buyPrice": "0.94500000",
"netEvUsd": "-0.05145503",
"confidence": "0.94500000",
"feePerShareUsd": "0.00472500",
"grossReturnIfWin": "0.05500000",
"netEvPerShareUsd": "-0.00972500",
"slippagePerShareUsd": "0.00500000",
"expectedValuePerShare": "0.00000000"
}Opportunity
{
"id": "cmqzsaeau17crmk108qwyykl9",
"strategyId": "high-prob-bonds",
"strategyVersion": "1.0.0",
"marketId": "0x48e6e5108d0d878a02c2d79164fa1063792179b97dfe740b43cb6ebb803e0f7c",
"status": "decided",
"side": "buy",
"outcome": "No",
"price": "0.945",
"sizeUsd": "5",
"estimatedGrossEv": null,
"estimatedNetEv": null,
"confidence": "0.945",
"liquidityUsd": "296520.1817",
"spread": "0.01",
"reason": null,
"rejectionStage": null,
"rejectionCode": null,
"rejectionReason": null,
"features": {
"price": "0.94500000",
"binary": true,
"spread": "0.01000000",
"ageSeconds": 0,
"confidence": "0.94500000",
"subjective": false,
"liquidityUsd": "296520.18170000",
"volume24hUsd": "3401605.44368707",
"resolutionRulesClear": true,
"timeToResolutionHours": -1.883252222222222
},
"configSnapshot": null,
"configSnapshotHash": "d4ed00c28c39931302fea8e14cb7b9f98711545519ae83d9b8b38df45317c34b",
"marketSnapshotId": "cmqzsadwt176qmk107jdus13p",
"rawSnapshotId": null,
"raw": null,
"foundAt": "2026-06-29T22:23:01.350Z",
"expiresAt": "2026-06-29T20:30:00.000Z",
"createdAt": "2026-06-29T22:23:01.350Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-06-29T22:23:01.360Z"
}Market snapshot
{
"id": "cmqzsadwt176qmk107jdus13p",
"marketId": "0x48e6e5108d0d878a02c2d79164fa1063792179b97dfe740b43cb6ebb803e0f7c",
"bestBid": "0.05",
"bestAsk": "0.945",
"midPrice": "0.055",
"spread": "0.01",
"liquidityUsd": "296520.1817",
"volume24hUsd": "3401605.44368707",
"orderBook": null,
"sourceRawId": null,
"capturedAt": "2026-06-29T22:22:59.708Z"
}Risk checks
0 check record(s)
Orders & trades
No orders (decision not executed).
Related events
Jun 29, 2026, 10:23:01 PMDecisionCreated