Decision replay

complete
Decision
cmqzsmepg1awomk105hyw64p8
Strategy: high-prob-bonds v1.0.0
Action: skip · status created · mode paper
paramHash: d4ed00c28c39931302fea8e14cb7b9f98711545519ae83d9b8b38df45317c34b
configHash: d4ed00c28c39931302fea8e14cb7b9f98711545519ae83d9b8b38df45317c34b
Rationale: Buy No @ 0.9750 | confidence 0.9750 | fee/sh 0.004875 | slippage/sh 0.005000 | net EV -0.050641 USD | skip: confidence < 0.9850
Reason code: LOW_CONFIDENCE
Resolved config snapshot
{
  "priceMax": "0.98500000",
  "priceMin": "0.94000000",
  "maxSpread": "0.02000000",
  "minNetEvUsd": "0.01000000",
  "orderSizeUsd": "5.00000000",
  "takerFeeRate": "0.00500000",
  "minConfidence": "0.98500000",
  "minLiquidityUsd": "500.00000000",
  "minVolume24hUsd": "100.00000000",
  "maxMarketDataAgeSeconds": 30,
  "maxTimeToResolutionHours": 168,
  "allowSubjectiveCategories": false
}
Decision inputs
{
  "shares": "5.12820513",
  "buyPrice": "0.97500000",
  "netEvUsd": "-0.05064103",
  "confidence": "0.97500000",
  "feePerShareUsd": "0.00487500",
  "grossReturnIfWin": "0.02500000",
  "netEvPerShareUsd": "-0.00987500",
  "slippagePerShareUsd": "0.00500000",
  "expectedValuePerShare": "0.00000000"
}
Opportunity
{
  "id": "cmqzsmep61awlmk10ghwiehu1",
  "strategyId": "high-prob-bonds",
  "strategyVersion": "1.0.0",
  "marketId": "0x48e6e5108d0d878a02c2d79164fa1063792179b97dfe740b43cb6ebb803e0f7c",
  "status": "decided",
  "side": "buy",
  "outcome": "No",
  "price": "0.975",
  "sizeUsd": "5",
  "estimatedGrossEv": null,
  "estimatedNetEv": null,
  "confidence": "0.975",
  "liquidityUsd": "122848.8149",
  "spread": "0.01",
  "reason": null,
  "rejectionStage": null,
  "rejectionCode": null,
  "rejectionReason": null,
  "features": {
    "price": "0.97500000",
    "binary": true,
    "spread": "0.01000000",
    "ageSeconds": 0,
    "confidence": "0.97500000",
    "subjective": false,
    "liquidityUsd": "122848.81490000",
    "volume24hUsd": "4045470.42297207",
    "resolutionRulesClear": true,
    "timeToResolutionHours": -2.0391225
  },
  "configSnapshot": null,
  "configSnapshotHash": "d4ed00c28c39931302fea8e14cb7b9f98711545519ae83d9b8b38df45317c34b",
  "marketSnapshotId": "cmqzsme9o1aqqmk109wws4ij0",
  "rawSnapshotId": null,
  "raw": null,
  "foundAt": "2026-06-29T22:32:21.739Z",
  "expiresAt": "2026-06-29T20:30:00.000Z",
  "createdAt": "2026-06-29T22:32:21.739Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-06-29T22:32:21.762Z"
}
Market snapshot
{
  "id": "cmqzsme9o1aqqmk109wws4ij0",
  "marketId": "0x48e6e5108d0d878a02c2d79164fa1063792179b97dfe740b43cb6ebb803e0f7c",
  "bestBid": "0.02",
  "bestAsk": "0.975",
  "midPrice": "0.025",
  "spread": "0.01",
  "liquidityUsd": "122848.8149",
  "volume24hUsd": "4045470.42297207",
  "orderBook": null,
  "sourceRawId": null,
  "capturedAt": "2026-06-29T22:32:20.841Z"
}
Risk checks
0 check record(s)
Orders & trades

No orders (decision not executed).

Related events
Jun 29, 2026, 10:32:21 PMDecisionCreated